23/11/2025
📉 Bangladesh’s GDP growth has slowed significantly in FY2025, with projections for FY2026 remaining modest due to political uncertainty and weak industrial performance.
Here’s a detailed breakdown of the latest updates on Bangladesh’s GDP:
🔻 FY2025 GDP Performance
Q4 FY2025 growth dropped to 3.35%, down from 4.86% in Q3 and 4.48% in Q2. The slowdown was driven by a sharp decline in industrial and service sector activity.
Political unrest and street protests disrupted business and public life, undermining economic recovery despite a rebound in agriculture.
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) projected 3.9% growth for FY2025, citing weak domestic demand, inflation, and industrial unrest.
📊 FY2026 GDP Projections
IMF revised its forecast down to 4.9%, from earlier estimates of 5.4% in July and 6.5% in April.
World Bank and ADB also expect modest growth: 4.8% and 5%, respectively.
The Bangladesh government has set a more optimistic target of 5.5% for FY2026, though experts remain cautious.
💰 Nominal GDP Outlook
Bangladesh’s nominal GDP is expected to reach $520 billion in FY2026, surpassing the $500 billion mark for the first time, assuming exchange rate stability between Tk 120–123 per USD.
For FY2025, the nominal GDP was estimated at Tk 55.5 lakh crore, or about $462 billion.
⚠️ Key Challenges
Investment and industrial activity remain subdued, largely due to political instability and lack of investor confidence.
Inflation is expected to ease to 8.8% in FY2026, with further decline projected in the following year.