03/08/2026
The Decisive Factor for Surrender in a War Between America and Iran 😨🚨
One of the key points that Professor Jiang Xueqin emphasizes in his recent analyses—specifically in the context of a Total War between Iran on one side and the United States, Israel, and the Gulf states on the other—is the issue of water.
While he discusses water scarcity as a general regional problem, he considers it the decisive factor that will determine the winner and loser in a long-term war of attrition. Based on his videos and analyses circulating now in 2026, here is a summary of his main points:
* The Gulf States (GCC - UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait): Most drinking water comes from desalination plants, rather than rivers or sufficient groundwater. The region suffers from an acute shortage of fresh water, making these plants the "lifeblood" of the population. If Iran succeeds in striking one or more of these plants using cheap drones, a water crisis would erupt almost instantly. Within a few weeks, reserves would vanish, and the population would be unable to survive without potable water.
* Iran itself: Iran also faces significant water issues (droughts, dams, agriculture). Jiang notes that the Americans and Israelis would likely target Iranian water supplies—including dams, reservoirs, and treatment plants—to weaken popular and economic resilience. Essentially, all parties have a "water vulnerability," but the Gulf states are more susceptible to a rapid collapse.
* Asymmetric Warfare: The war won't just be fought with ballistic missiles or tanks; it will involve targeting critical infrastructure such as:
* Desalination plants.
* Oil pipelines.
* Dams.
This makes the war "cheap" for Iran (using inexpensive drones) and extremely expensive for the Americans, who must spend millions to defend every single target.
The Big Prediction
Jiang argues that the primary issue isn't just oil; rather, potable water will be the catalyst for regime collapse in either the Gulf states or Iran. This could turn the conflict into a total war leading to a geopolitical and economic loss for the United States, as it will be unable to sustain the cost of permanently defending all of this vital infrastructure.
